Starting late last year, some predicted that the 2018 tax changes would cripple the housing market. Headlines warned of the potential for double-digit price depreciation and suggested that buyer demand could drop like a rock. There was even sentiment that homeownership could lose its coveted status as a major component of the American Dream.
Now that the first quarter numbers are in, we can begin to decipher the actual that impact tax reform has had on the real estate market.
1. Has tax reform killed off home buyer demand? The answer is “NO.”
According to theShowing Time Indexwhich“tracks the average number of buyer showings on active residential properties on a monthly basis”and is a“highly reliable leading indicator of current and future demand trends,”buyer demand has increased each month over the last three months and is HIGHER than it was for the same months last year. Buyer demand is not down. It is up.
2. Have the tax changes affected America’s belief in real estate as a long-term investment? The answer is “NO.”
Two weeks ago,Gallupreleased itsannual surveywhich asks Americans which asset they believed to be the best long-term investment. The survey revealed:
“More Americans name real estate over several other vehicles for growing wealth as the best long-term investment for the fifth year in a row. Just over a third cite real estate for this, while roughly a quarter name stocks or mutual funds.”
The survey also showed that the percentage of Americans who believe real estate is the best long-term investment was unchanged from a year ago.
3. Has the homeownership rate been negatively impacted by the tax changes? The answer is “NO.”
Not only did the homeownership rate not crash, it increased when compared to the first quarter of last year according todata releasedby theCensus Bureau.
In her latest“Z Report,”Ivy Zelman explains that tax reform didn’t hurt the homeownership rate, but instead, enhanced it:
“We have been of the opinion that homeownership is most highly correlated with income and the net effect of tax reform would be a positive, rather than negative catalyst for the homeownership rate. While still in the early innings of tax changes, this has proven to be the case.”
4. Has the upper-end market been crushed by newState and Local Taxes(SALT) limitations? The answer is “NO.”
Sales between $500,000 and $750,000 were up 4.5% year-over-year
Sales between $750,000 and $1M were up 15.1% year-over-year
Sales over $1M were up 17.3% year-over-year
5. Will the reforms in the tax code cause home prices to tumble over the next twelve months? The answer is “NO.”
According toCoreLogic’slatestHome Price Insights Report, home prices will appreciate in each of the 50 states over the next twelve months. Appreciation is projected to be anywhere from 1.9% to 10.3% with the national average being 4.7%.
The doomsday scenarios that some predicted based on tax reform fears seem to have already blown over based on the early housing industry numbers being reported.
Source: Keeping Current Matters
Author:Kenyatta Phillips Phone: 334-595-9021 Dated: May 12th 2018 Views: 442 About Kenyatta: Kenyatta is a devoted Christian, wife, and mother. She enjoys reading, cooking, baking, and crafting...
View our latest blog posts in your RSS reader. Click here to access.
Cardinal Realty Group, LLC is dedicated to serving the Central Alabama River Region and surrounding areas in residential sales and property management. Our growth from referrals from satisfied clients is a testament of our dedication to excellence.
Our Cardinal Rule is that we are committed to excellence in customer service and communication.
We will optimize integrity, energy, hard work, and creative customer service in every detail of our client's real estate transactions. We want our clients to know and feel as though they are important to us and we care about them and understand their needs and how to help them. We are honest and have ethical business practices. Our response time to our clients and customers set us apart from others. We are quick to respond to our client's and customer's questions, needs, and concerns.
Not only do we gain happy clients through our transactions, we also gain and build lasting relationships!
5 Ways Tax Reform Has Impacted the 2018 Housing Market
"Rhonda was very helpful in regards to going through the entire home buying process. She was very knowledgeable, she listened to me when I advised what it was i was looking for and not looking for and was available when i wanted to view any homes that were listed. I am 100% happy that I chose her as my realtor!!"